The Observer says the Liberal Democrats can win Luton South
On Page 26 of today’s Observer newspaper polling expert Bob Worcester identifies seats where he feels the Liberal Democrats could win from third place.
No 12 on the list is Luton South. (See graphic below.)
Worcester argues that if the Liberal Democrats score 28% in the national opinion polls, which is roughly where the Party is at the moment, the Liberal Democrats will need to generate a ‘campaign’ swing of only 6% to win.
If you remember the swings achieved in some seats at the last election, for example Manchester Withington acheived 17.6%, this is very achievable.
More details at: ‘How to vote tactically: our guide to Britain’s key battleground seats‘
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This content was originally posted on my old Strange Thoughts blog.
2 Comments
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If we were going to win Stirling that would make me so happy, as a Scot who loves the city and is looking seriously at the propect of living there, but (a) we’ve not really been fighting it – no students have been asked to go, I’ve heard not a peep out of the constituency – and (b) it’s one of the few hustings you can watch on iPlayer and you’ll see that our candidate, though a nice guy and probably a good councillor, is unlikely to win hearts and minds.
Dulwich, Ealing, Bristol, Pendle and (so I hear) Nottingham South from your list are all likelies. I wouldn’t say Edinburgh South West was but (depend on it) we’re going to win Edinburgh South and Edinburgh North so if we won ESW that would be the best thing to have happened in Scottish politics for half a century.
[…] Observer says the Liberal Democrats can win Luton South, reports Strange Thoughts. The papers names some other seats that we could win from third […]